Bet - Revision history

142.177.94.8 at 01:56, 23 February 2004

2004-02-23T01:56:27Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:56, 23 February 2004
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	To '''bet''' on outcomes is the entire basis of [[market]] dynamics. It is not optional in thinking about markets. There is some question as to whether bets could play a constructive role in the [[Content Wiki]]. Here are two ways that they might:		To '''bet''' on outcomes is the entire basis of [[market]] dynamics. It is not optional in thinking about markets. There is some question as to whether bets could play a constructive role in the [[Content Wiki]]. Here are two ways that they might:

	[[~~Revent~~ currency]] treats every single edit as a bet that the edit will stand. This makes such tactics as [[ad hominem revert]] not very attractive if a whole [[faction]] is going to restore them and make them stick - whoever tries it loses credit. This may be a way to offset [[sysop power structure]].		[[Revert currency]] treats every single edit as a bet that the edit will stand. This makes such tactics as [[ad hominem revert]] not very attractive if a whole [[faction]] is going to restore them and make them stick - whoever tries it loses credit. This may be a way to offset [[sysop power structure]].

	[[Prediction market]]s are a committed way to "put a bet on record" which helps others to see which bets you really believe, versus those you make just casually. Unlike bets in the [[commodity market]]s or [[currency market]]s, a prediction is normally attributed to some person, who may be trying to build up a reputation for successful prediction. But the voting, debating, etc., around the bet is the point - the commitment and the contrast between people taking up opposing positions, helps focus that and concentrate it on a specific test - the same way scientific theories exist to focus attention on one experiment.		[[Prediction market]]s are a committed way to "put a bet on record" which helps others to see which bets you really believe, versus those you make just casually. Unlike bets in the [[commodity market]]s or [[currency market]]s, a prediction is normally attributed to some person, who may be trying to build up a reputation for successful prediction. But the voting, debating, etc., around the bet is the point - the commitment and the contrast between people taking up opposing positions, helps focus that and concentrate it on a specific test - the same way scientific theories exist to focus attention on one experiment.

142.177.94.8: bets exist whether you want to formally support them or not; two more ways betting matters

2004-02-23T01:56:08Z

bets exist whether you want to formally support them or not; two more ways betting matters

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:56, 23 February 2004
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	~~There will absolutely be no betting involved in~~ [[~~Consumerium~~]] ~~neither~~ in [[Content Wiki]] ~~nor in~~ [[~~Opinion Wiki~~]]. ~~We are facing enough challenges~~ and ~~problems without betting~~. ~~You will have~~ to ~~take your gambling urge~~ to the [[~~w:Stock~~ market]].		To '''bet''' on outcomes is the entire basis of [[market]] dynamics. It is not optional in thinking about markets. There is some question as to whether bets could play a constructive role in the [[Content Wiki]]. Here are two ways that they might:

			[[Revent currency]] treats every single edit as a bet that the edit will stand. This makes such tactics as [[ad hominem revert]] not very attractive if a whole [[faction]] is going to restore them and make them stick - whoever tries it loses credit. This may be a way to offset [[sysop power structure]].

			[[Prediction market]]s are a committed way to "put a bet on record" which helps others to see which bets you really believe, versus those you make just casually. Unlike bets in the [[commodity market]]s or [[currency market]]s, a prediction is normally attributed to some person, who may be trying to build up a reputation for successful prediction. But the voting, debating, etc., around the bet is the point - the commitment and the contrast between people taking up opposing positions, helps focus that and concentrate it on a specific test - the same way scientific theories exist to focus attention on one experiment.

			For an excellent example of how bets and commitment to taking one side of a bet can focus political debate, see http://www.longbets.org/129

			Bets exist whether one wants to formally support them or not; Spending time on one project versus another is a form of betting on that project to succeed.

Jukeboksi: no bets, moving everything to talk-page

2004-02-22T18:33:44Z

no bets, moving everything to talk-page

← Older revision		Revision as of 18:33, 22 February 2004
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	~~To '''bet''' on outcomes is the entire basis of~~ [[~~market~~]] ~~dynamics. It is not optional in thinking about markets. There is some question as to whether bets could play a constructive role~~ in ~~the~~ [[Content Wiki]]~~. Here is a suggestion that they might:~~		There will absolutely be no betting involved in [[Consumerium]] neither in [[Content Wiki]] nor in [[Opinion Wiki]]. We are facing enough challenges and problems without betting. You will have to take your gambling urge to the [[w:Stock market]].

	[[~~Prediction market~~]]s are ~~a committed way~~ to ~~"put a bet on record" which helps others~~ to ~~see which bets you really believe, versus those you make just casually. Unlike bets in~~ the [[~~commodity market]]s or [[currency~~ market]]s, a prediction is normally attributed to some person, who may be trying to build up a reputation for successful prediction. But the voting, debating, etc., around the bet is the point - the commitment and the contrast between people taking up opposing positions, helps focus that and concentrate it on a specific test - the same way scientific theories exist to focus attention on one experiment.

	~~For an excellent example of how bets and commitment to taking one side of a bet can focus political debate, see http://www.longbets~~.~~org/129~~

142.177.81.89: example of something the content wiki might do

2004-01-21T19:07:52Z

example of something the content wiki might do

New page

To '''bet''' on outcomes is the entire basis of [[market]] dynamics. It is not optional in thinking about markets. There is some question as to whether bets could play a constructive role in the [[Content Wiki]]. Here is a suggestion that they might:

[[Prediction market]]s are a committed way to "put a bet on record" which helps others to see which bets you really believe, versus those you make just casually. Unlike bets in the [[commodity market]]s or [[currency market]]s, a prediction is normally attributed to some person, who may be trying to build up a reputation for successful prediction. But the voting, debating, etc., around the bet is the point - the commitment and the contrast between people taking up opposing positions, helps focus that and concentrate it on a specific test - the same way scientific theories exist to focus attention on one experiment.

For an excellent example of how bets and commitment to taking one side of a bet can focus political debate, see http://www.longbets.org/129